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Top Mixed Martial Arts Sports Betting Upsets

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As we near the end of 2009 we take a look at some of the biggest moneyline upsets bets in MMA of that year. Everyone knows about Kimbo Slice losing to Seth Petruzelli. This fight shocked the world but it was not the biggest betting upset of the year at +358.


No other sports betting upset was as big as when former top pound for pound fighter Takanori Gomi lost at Sengoku 6 to Sergey Golyaev. Golyaev already had 5 loses and he was not expected to come close to beating  the highly ranked Gomi but he ended up winning a split decision. That fight was probably the biggest upset in MMA history next to Georges St Pierre`s lose to Matt Serra at UFC 69 – Shootout. The other two biggest betting line upset of the year was Yoon Dong Sik losing to Andrews Nakahara at Dream 6 at +525 and Fabricio Werdum getting brutally KOèd by Junior Dos Santos at UFC90: Silva vs. Cote Rounding out the top five on the  most surprising MMA betting upset was the once unbeatable Urijah Faber losing to Mike Brown at WEC 36 at -563 and Roan Carneiro.


Sports betting is a tricky thing. Thankfully betting on the UFC and mixed martial arts in general is much better to win and profit on than in most sports. Because sports’ betting on MMA has been relatively new many of the top sportsbook oddsmakers have no idea how to set the on online betting lines. Most lines makers have no idea about fightBet UFC at BetUSers, their training schedule who they have fought in the past and their fighting style.

MMA betting is all about matchups and who they are fighting that day. If a fighter has lost 2 in a row n but he has fought top level guys that the oddsmakers will look at those stats and set soft lines for that fighter since they see he has lost recently. But what if that fighter is a striker and fought two high level grapplers and now he is fighting another striker. For example, a UFC 104 Machida vs. Rua,  Chael Sonnen was  pretty big underdog versus Yushin “Thunder”Okami at +185. He was only a betting underdog because he lost his last fight versus Demain Maia quickly. However, Maia is a top level grappler and Okami is not but the sports book oddsmakers have no idea how to set the lines.


Marketing also plays a big example. Just look at the fight between Anderson Silva versus Chris Leben. Not many oddsmakers knew who Anderson Silva was but because he was on the Ultimate Fighter reality show he was a betting favourite versus Silva. This still occurs to this day as many fighters on the reality show get soft lines just because they have been seen by many people. If you study MMA, you can really make a good profit from betting on mixed martial arts.


Also unlike many other sports MMA is strictly moneyline bets. You don`t have to worry about point spread anymore. In sports like the NFL, NBA or MLB you might win the bet as you pick the right team but you lose your money since you did not beat the spread.


This list of the 20 biggest sports betting upsets for 2008 covers all the many MMA organizations and including the UFC, WEC, EliteXC, Strikeforce, Sengoku and Dream.

Rank

Odds

Loser

Odds

Winner

Result

Event

1

-800

Takanori
Gomi

+676

Sergey
Golyaev

Decision

Sengoku 6

2

-675

Yoon
Dong Sik

+525

Andrews
Nakahara

Round 2 KO/TKO

Dream.6

3

-650

Fabricio
Werdum

+450

Junior
Dos Santos

Round 1 KO/TKO

UFC 90

4

-563

Urijah
Faber

+443

Mike Thomas
Brown

Round 1 KO/TKO

WEC 36

5

-500

Roan
Carneiro

+375

Kevin
Burns

Round 2 Submission

UFC 85

6

-455

Kevin
“Kimbo Slice”
Ferguson

+358

Seth
Petruzelli

Round 1 KO/TKO

Elite XC

7

-413

Gilbert
Melendez

+358

Josh
Thomson

Decision

Strikeforce

8

-401

Thiago
Tavares

+361

Matt
Wiman

Round 2 KO/TKO

UFC 85

9

-388

Ikuhisa
Minowa

+258

Taiei
Kin

Decision

Dream.2

10

-376

Ryan
Schultz

+318

Mizuto
Hirota

Round 2 KO/TKO

Sengoku 4

11

-368

Kendall
Grove

+248

Jorge
Rivera

Round 1 KO/TKO

UFC 80

12

-363

Luke
Stewart

+273

Tiki
Ghosn

Decision

Strikeforce

13

-356

Alan
Belcher

+301

Jason
Day

Round 1 KO/TKO

UFC 83

14

-350

Phillipe
Nover

+295

Efrain
Escudero

Decision

TUF 8 Finale

15

-345

Antonio
Rodrigo
Nogueira

+278

Frank
Mir

Round 2 KO/TKO

UFC 92

16

-341

Brian
Stann

+311

Steve
Cantwell

Round 2 KO/TKO

WEC 35

17

-335

Mitsuhiro
Ishida

+285

Caol Uno

Round 2 Submission

Dream.3

18

-334

Elaina
Maxwell

+314

Miesha
Tate

Decision

Strikeforce

19

-321

Manny
Gamburyan

+291

Rob
Emerson

Round 1 KO/TKO

UFC 87

20

-315

Ikuhisa
Minowa

+245

Masakatsu
Funaki

Round 1 Submission

Dream.6

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2010-09-25 10:00:00 GMT+00:00



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